Social equity of voluntary boards is favorable due to the lack of discrimination between small
and large board members. Mandatory boards were found to negatively impact within a social
context by transferring risk of changing market prices to those groups traditionally
disadvantaged in society; that is, the low income and resources poor communities, which may
or may not be in rural areas. Mandatory boards have negatively impacted sustainability of
natural resources management by moving natural resources and the Indonesian economy
further away from sustainable development. For example, the incentives provided to plywood
producers under The Indonesian Plywood Marketing Association s (APKINDO) coercive
marketing arrangements clearly encouraged maximization of the volume of timber processed
into commodity grade plywood. "By no stretch of the imagination could such a forestry
resources development trajectory be called sustainable" (NRMP Report No. 55).
Lesson Two: Impacts of Policy Recommendations and Identifying Appropriate Policy Clients
While results of NRMP s trade policy studies provided clear directions for future policy
development, little response was achieved in creating alternative policy settings. Increased
government focus was placed on some of the marketing associations, but the need for further
deregulation retained its economic policy dominance. The lesson learned from these studies
pertains to the critical importance of identifying an appropriate policy client, who holds the power
and responsibility for the policy issue at hand. As with all economy wide policies, the power
within the policy process does not lie solely within planning agencies or agencies responsible for
natural resources management. As such, policy recommendations from these agencies are
often rejected by those who hold power within economic trade policy decision making as one
means of limiting the agencies' power and influence within the policy process. The rapid
movement and loss of project champions within a given GOI agency also limits the usefulness
of policy analyses.
1.3.5 Economic and Environmental Interactions
NRMP developed a predictive capacity for Bappenas to assess impacts of alternative economic
growth strategies on important environmental parameters. The purpose of the forecasts was to
provide planners with input into the second twenty five year long term development plan.
NRMP sought to identify an appropriate balance between modernizing traditional sectors and
establishing new industries. Identifying industries worthy of encouragement was a secondary
goal of the project.
NRMP used data from twelve sectors on expected technological change and current and
expected input output relationships to develop a dynamic input output model. The model was
used to identify impacts of economic growth and technical change on employment, natural
resources use, and environmental degradation in Indonesia. The period covered was from
1985 to 2020. Two economic growth scenarios (5% and 7% GDP growth per annum) with two
technological change strategies were modeled: i) continuation of existing trends and policies,
and ii) an alternative strategy with emphasis on environmental protection. Technological change
was quantified as changes in intermediate, capital, and labor inputs per units of output as well
as measures of natural resources use. For comparative purposes, the base scenario combined
a moderate economic growth rate, with a continuation of current policies towards the
environment. For the electricity sector, a third scenario involving cleaner production of power
was included in the model.
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