Social equity of voluntary boards is favorable due to the lack of discrimination between small 
and large board members.  Mandatory boards were found to negatively impact within a social 
context by transferring risk of changing market prices to those groups traditionally 
disadvantaged in society; that is, the low income and resources poor communities, which may 
or may not be in rural areas.  Mandatory boards have negatively impacted sustainability of 
natural resources management by moving natural resources and the Indonesian economy 
further away from sustainable development.  For example, the incentives provided to plywood 
producers under The Indonesian Plywood Marketing Association s (APKINDO) coercive 
marketing arrangements clearly encouraged maximization of the volume of timber processed 
into commodity grade plywood.  "By no stretch of the imagination could such a forestry 
resources development trajectory be called sustainable" (NRMP Report No. 55). 
Lesson Two: Impacts of Policy Recommendations and Identifying Appropriate Policy Clients 
While results of NRMP s trade policy studies provided clear directions for future policy 
development, little response was achieved in creating alternative policy settings.  Increased 
government focus was placed on some of the marketing associations, but the need for further 
deregulation retained its economic policy dominance.  The lesson learned from these studies 
pertains to the critical importance of identifying an appropriate policy client, who holds the power 
and responsibility for the policy issue at hand.  As with all economy wide policies, the power 
within the policy process does not lie solely within planning agencies or agencies responsible for 
natural resources management.  As such, policy recommendations from these agencies are 
often rejected by those who hold power within economic trade policy decision making as one 
means of limiting the agencies' power and influence within the policy process.  The rapid 
movement and loss of project champions within a given GOI agency also limits the usefulness 
of policy analyses. 
1.3.5  Economic and Environmental Interactions  
NRMP developed a predictive capacity for Bappenas to assess impacts of alternative economic 
growth strategies on important environmental  parameters.  The purpose of the forecasts was to 
provide planners with input into the second twenty five year long term development plan.  
NRMP sought to identify an appropriate balance between modernizing traditional sectors and 
establishing new industries.  Identifying industries worthy of encouragement was a secondary 
goal of the project.   
NRMP used data from twelve sectors on expected technological change and current and 
expected input output relationships to develop a dynamic input output model.  The model was 
used to identify impacts of economic growth and technical change on employment, natural 
resources use, and environmental degradation in Indonesia.  The period covered was from 
1985 to 2020.  Two economic growth scenarios (5% and 7% GDP growth per annum) with two 
technological change strategies were modeled:  i) continuation of existing trends and policies, 
and ii) an alternative strategy with emphasis on environmental protection. Technological change 
was quantified as changes in intermediate, capital, and labor inputs per units of output as well 
as measures of natural resources use.  For comparative purposes, the base scenario combined 
a moderate economic growth rate, with a continuation of current policies towards the 
environment.  For the electricity sector, a third scenario involving cleaner production of power 
was included in the model.   
20 
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