The ITU recommendations, which also contains an example and certain
default assumptions is placed at Annexure B. Certain assumptions require
forecasting. For the purpose of estimation, it would be necessary that these
assumptions are finalised through the consultation process. Stakeholders are
requested to provide their comments on the assumptions given in sample
calculations provided in ITU Recommendations reproduced in Annexure B.
The stakeholders are requested to provide their forecast of spectrum using
ITU RM.1390 methodology either separately or as a part of their comments to
this consultation paper. In addition stakeholders may provide any other
methodology/spectrum estimations clearly giving the assumptions and their
basis.
2.5.3 Estimates of Subscriber Growth
The subscriber growth curve (figure 2.1) has been constructed using current
subscriber growth rates and projected growth for India with the assumption
that the number of mobile subscribers will reach 230 million (penetration
approximately 20%) by 2008/9.
Figure 2.1 Forecast for Mobile Subscribers nationwide
Mobile Population All India
250.00
)s
200.00
n
illio
M
in
150.00
se (a
B
100.00
erib
crsb
u
50.00
S
0.00
3
4
4
4
5
5
5
6
6
6
7
7
7
8
8
8
004
005
006
007
008
,200
2
,200
,2
,200
,2
,200
,2
,200
,2
,200
c
r,200
t,200
c
r,200
t,200
c
r,200
t,200
c
r,200
t,200
c
r,200
t,200
c
e
a
p
e
a
p
e
a
p
e
a
p
e
a
p
e
D
M
ne,u
e
une
e
une
e
une
e
une
e
S
D
M
J
S
D
M
J
S
D
M
J
S
D
M
J
S
D
J
For the purpose of estimating spectrum required, the mobile population of
Delhi can be taken as being representative of the most dense mobile service
area. Mobile Penetration for Delhi is estimated in Fig. 2.2
12
<
New Page 1
Web Hosting India