differences in terms of demographics, economy and the state of the mobile
market at that time both internationally and nationally.
Developing business plans for the life time of the licences based on
sensible assumptions which can be used to calculate potential revenue
and profit and from this a reserve price can be derived.
Current costs for access to spectrum based on Administrative Incentive
Pricing;
Pre auction bid as in the case of fourth CMSPs.
Generally part of the detailed auction design will involve determining the
reserve price.
It is important that the auction rules should make it clear what would happen if
the reserve is not met so that bidders are not encouraged to bid low in the
hope that the spectrum is still there to be licensed. Low reserve prices
encourage collusion because bidders see the potential of obtaining spectrum
at well below the market price. An example of the impact of low reserve
prices is the Swiss 3G auction where the reserve prices were set at a level
which was twenty times lower than the Government's predicted value.
Consequently the Swiss auction resulted in the lowest per capita payment of
any of the European 3G auctions.
Where the reserve price is not met this indicates that the value placed on the
spectrum by potential operators is less than that foreseen by the regulator.
An illustration of how much value is placed on proven technologies is provided
by the prices paid for GSM licences in developing countries, as the following
table indicates. Note that in some cases the amount paid as a percentage of
national gross domestic product (GDP) for GSM licences is greater than the
average amount paid (0.49) for each 3G mobile licence in the UK as a
percentage of GDP.
Amount paid for
Amount per
% of GDP
Country
GSM licence (US$)
capita ($)
Algeria 737M
24.71
0.45
Egypt 516M
7.94
0.22
Morocco 1,100M 36.19
1.01
Turkey 2,600M
40.93
0.59
Tunisia 454M
49.11
0.75
Table 5.2: Value placed on GSM licences in developing countries
Potential market structure
One of the key considerations in choosing an auction design is the extent to
which it will help to optimise the use of the available spectrum and promote
competition in the market. For example, the offering of a large number of
small spectrum packages can be seen as advantageous in terms of facilitating
multiple new entrants. But if these can be aggregated to form much larger
blocks, a small number of bidders may purchase all the available spectrum,
possibly acquiring more spectrum than would be considered necessary for
efficient spectrum use. Furthermore, Dominant operators may be incentivised
to bid more than new entrants in order to ensure that such new entrants are
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