Ma
total of 235,000 MT commercial maize imports
UNICEF funds University of Nairobi to carry out
GoK & NGO relief distributions in
y
undertaken, but prices remain high  and rising as late
nutritional assessments in 10 drought affected districts
pastoral areas (Wajir, Isiolo & Garissa)
 97
harvest is expected, further eroding vulnerable
hampered by heavy rains making roads
households' access to food
impassable
last 3 weeks of May unusually dry and hot,
GoK relief distributions peak at
causing  crop stress in breadbasket areas and in
around 32,000 MT monthly, to 51 districts
marginal agricultural areas of Eastern Province
Jun 97
rains return in mid June , breaking 5 week dry
WFP commissioned SCF UK FEA assessment
GoK relief coverage reduced to 43
spell & improving prospects for fair harvest in main
of Wajir concludes food aid should continue, at
Districts, following long rains
surplus producing areas.
declining rate, until mid January
crop conditions remain unfavorable in the East
most pastoral districts benefit from favorable
                              
pasture, browse & water
Jul
          
                  
                    
           
Favorable short term conditions in pastoral
duty waiver for imported maize extended
 up
 9
districts, but slow economic recovery and high
to August 31
7
                              
malnutrition
WFP commissioned SCF UK FEA assessment
                              
of Kitui District finds stopping relief distributions in
                  
August would have no adverse impact
97
Au
       
                  
           
maize harvesting starts, with mixed production
UNICEF/ University of Nairobi study finds
WFP requests support for 4 month
g
                  
prospects. Overall fair harvest expected
significant malnutrition rates, highest in Samburu,
extension of drought EMOP 5803  in five
end of rains signalled by low August rainfall
Turkana & Kajiado
pastoral districts
GoK asks WFP for further relief food assistance
       
                  
           
97
Se
maize price remains on an upward trend
GoK relief distribution coverage
p
                  
despite large imports (375,000 MT during July &
further reduced to 28 districts (total
                  
August)
allocation 5,220 MT for September)
       
       
Oct 97
       
long rains maize production estimates revised
WFP EMOP extension  approved
 up
downwards due to poor rainfall distribution, unusual
to Jan 15, 1998   total of 6,638 MT cereals
       
dry spell  in September, and frost in Central Province
required
       
terms of trade for pastoralists improve in most
pastoral Districts
       
maize prices fall in most markets
exceptionally heavy rain (associated with El
       
Nino
) occurs in most parts of the country during
       
October, especially eastern, northern and coastal
       
areas.  
Severe flooding
 reported in northern
(normally arid) pastoral areas & along coastal strip
       
       
No
heavy rain continues
   highest precipitation in
Joint Flood Assessment Mission
 to Tana
GoK allocates  14,130MT relief maize
v 9
       
normally arid east & north east. Tana & Daua Rivers
River & Garissa  by GoK / UNDP / WFP/ EC / USAID/
for November, for drought affected Eastern,
7
       
flood, causing loss of life and homes
CARE / Rural Focus Limited.
Rift Valley, Coast & North eastern Provinces
prices of all food commodities rise dramatically
GoK issues appeal for flood disaster
WFP/ NGOs implementing extended
       
in 
pastoral areas cut off from road access by
assistance
, for nearly 300,000 people in 9 Districts
EMOP in pastoral Districts
floods
(Nov 26)
relief operations in pastoral areas
       
long rains harvesting continues   but heavy
halted by breakdown in road
       
rain is expected to cause substantial losses
communications
       
maize prices fall in surplus areas, but are
expected to rise again soon
       
       
De
heavy rain continues
, declining after Dec 20
USAID Kenya estimates 
300,000 people are
WFP Flood EMOP 5969 starts:
c 9
       
renewed flooding especially in pastoral districts
displaced or adversely affected by rain & floods
 in
airlifts
 of food and drugs for 390,000 people
7
       
  livestock diseases increase
northern, eastern & coastal areas
in severely flood affected pastoral districts of
Rift Valley harvest nears completion   losses
Oxfam warns of anticipated rise in water borne
Wajir, Mandera & Tana River begin
       
due to high moisture reduce national long rains
human diseases
December 10 (joint GoK / NGO/ WFP).
        
harvest  estimate to 1.83m MT (68% of average)
Jan 98
        
        
total rainfall in January still well above normal
DPIRP & Oxfam report 40 50% losses of goat
nearly 2,000 MT of cereals, pulses,
        
levels, but latter half of month is relatively dry
& sheep flocks due to flood related diseases
oil, Unimix & drugs airlifted by end of
Garissa & Tana River districts remain largely
MoH issues countrywide malaria alert
January to flood affected Mandera, Wajir,
        
inaccessible by road, though other pastoral areas are
National Disaster Operations Centre (NOC)
Tana River, Garissa & Isiolo. Total target
        
now partially accessible
becomes operational
 (21 Jan)
population 446,000.
                  
450 deaths reported in north & east due to Rift
WFP led flood assessment mission to Tana
Valley Fever, malaria, typhoid & cholera
River, Wajir, Garissa, Mandera, and Isiolo
          
                  
        
Feb 98
above normal rainfall re commences in  early
 WFP co ordinated 
flood EMOP
                  
Feb, hampering harvesting & raising risk of crop
continues
                  
losses
pasture, browse & water conditions favorable;
livestock diseases declining
Ma
rainfall in mid March signals a late onset of
UNICEF/ UNDP flood assessment
 of 7 worst 
road transport conditions improve  
r
long rains season, after an unusually brief dry spell
affected pastoral Districts finds high malnutrition rates,
74% of flood EMOP relief during March
 98
and exceptionally high livestock losses during Nov 
transported by road
Feb
2
nd
 phase of flood EMOP starts
(5969/01)    
target population now 539,600
Ap
rainfall distribution continues irregular   planting
total food aid distributed under flood
r 9
of long rains crops continues unusually late, disrupted
EMOP reaches 13,277 MT; extension to
8
by unseasonable Dec Feb rainfall
October proposed
food prices decline substantially in most
markets (except pastoral areas) due to short rains
harvest, destocking by millers, & expected imports
Ma
May rainfall normal to above normal in most
MSF/B &  DPIRP report exceptionally high child
GoK allocates 270 MT maize to
y
areas (up to 300% of normal in parts of Central
malnutrition in Samburu
Samburu, but poor targeting of general
 98
Kenya)
GoK issues 
2
nd
 appeal for flood emergency
rations is reported to be reducing the
flooding along the River Tana forces agro 
assistance
effectiveness of MSF Unimix distribution
pastoralists to replant for the third  time
maize prices continue to decline
Jun 98
cumulative precipitation during long rains
WFP needs assessment
 finds acute food
period (Mar Jun) normal to above normal, but
insecurity among pastoralists, signalled by high grain
temporal distribution poor
prices, unseasonable livestock sales, low purchasing
power, & high child malnutrition.  Extension of flood
                              
EMOP considered essential to recovery
GoK again waives import duty on maize
          
                  
                    
           
98
Jul
                              
WFP short term Food Security Adviser works
3
rd
 phase of WFP flood EMOP 5969
with NGOs to review targeting of flood relief (June /
approved,  targeting 587,480 people up to
July)
September 1998
Sources: FEWS Kenya reports, various documents and interviews
A 35
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